Polymarket Predicts US-Iran Strike: $40K Bet on Military Action Tonight

A significant wager of $40,000 has been placed on the prediction platform Polymarket, betting that the United States will conduct a military strike on Iran before the night's end. This large bet highlights how decentralized prediction markets are being used to gauge the probability of real-world geopolitical events. The contract, titled "US strikes Iran by 11:59 PM ET tonight," saw its "Yes" share price surge following the placement, reflecting increased market confidence in an imminent escalation. Such events are closely monitored by crypto and traditional investors alike, as geopolitical tensions can cause volatility across asset classes, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).