Bitcoin and Ether Face Pressure Ahead of Major Options Expiry: Market Analysis

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Bitcoin and Ether Face Pressure Ahead of Major Options Expiry: Market Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to face challenges while Ethereum (ETH) attempts to maintain its position above the $4,000 threshold. Crypto investors can find optimism in the approaching end of September, historically a bearish month, with the typically strongest quarter just ahead.

Market sentiment remains cautious, with the Crypto Fear and Greed Index at 45, indicating neutral conditions with a slight lean toward fear. Bitcoin's recent underperformance compared to traditional assets contributes to this mood, gaining 7% over three months versus S&P 500's 9% and gold's 12%.

A significant $17 billion in Bitcoin options expires soon, featuring a max pain price of $110,000 - slightly below the current $112,000 spot price, potentially creating short-term downward pressure. Analysts expect Bitcoin to consolidate between $110,000-$116,000 until October.

Meanwhile, AI and high-performance computing stocks like IREN show notable activity, while Bitcoin treasury companies face continued pressure. KindlyMD struggles near $1.17, just above its PIPE pricing, and Metaplanet declined 4% in Tokyo trading, down over 70% from its peak.

Key Market Events

  • Crypto: Plasma blockchain launches mainnet beta with XPL token (Sept 25)
  • Macro: US durable goods orders, GDP data, jobless claims, and Fed speeches
  • Token Events: dYdX governance vote, Venom token unlock, multiple exchange listings

Market Highlights

Aster's ASTER token surged 344% to $2, challenging Hyperliquid's HYPE token which dropped to $43 amid competitive pressures and upcoming token unlock concerns. Futures open interest shows mixed signals across major tokens with several altcoins displaying negative funding rates.

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